No Bullshit Polls – 26 Sep 2004

Kerry and Bush Statistically Tied in Pennsylvania, Poll Says

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) — Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry and President George W. Bush are statistically tied in Pennsylvania, according to a statewide poll by the Philadelphia Inquirer and Temple University.

Kerry, a four-term Massachusetts senator, had the support of 49 percent of likely voters in the November election, while 47 percent favored Bush, according to the Inquirer. The poll, conducted over eight days ending Sept. 24, surveyed 1,133 people throughout the state, and had a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Four percent of voters are undecided, the paper said.

Kerry leads Bush in the suburbs outside Philadelphia, 51 percent to 43 percent, the paper said.

The state, which has 21 Electoral College votes, was won by former Vice President Al Gore in 2000 by 204,840 votes, or 4.3 percent.

A review of state-by-state polls and historical voting data by Bloomberg News shows Bush ahead in 20 states, including Texas and Utah, with 163 electoral votes. Kerry leads in 10 states, including New York and Maryland, with 143 electoral votes. In 20 states that have 232 electoral votes, including Pennsylvania and Minnesota, results of the most recent polls are within the margin of error.


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